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Robert Gates talks OBL


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#1 GostHacked

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Posted 16 May 2012 - 09:22 AM

http://www.cbsnews.c...ectionContent.0

(CBS News) Former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates said Wednesday he had "no doubts that the SEALs could perform the mission" that killed Osama bin Laden. His concern was whether or not bin Laden was in the compound.

"We didn't have one single piece of hard data that he was actually in that compound, not one," Gates told "CBS this Morning" co-host Charlie Rose. "The whole thing was a circumstantial case built by analysts at CIA."


Looks like the CIA does it again! But his next statements kind of confuse me.

Gates wanted to bomb and not go in to kill bin Laden. "My view was, 'Let's kill him, but let's use a missile of some kind,'" Gates said. "And, and the reason, the objection to that was, "Well, we couldn't collect any information to exploit."

"If this mission had failed, it could've put the war in Iraq, in Afghanistan, at risk," Gates said. He said Mr. Obama's decision to go through with the raid was a "courageous call."


If Osama really was not at that compound, then why would he call Obama courageous for the attack?

Full transcript here http://www.cbsnews.c...iew-transcript/

So no hard evidence OBL was in Pakistan. And a failed mission would have really been a mark on the US. So now I have doubts about the body sitting at the bottom of the ocean.

Either it was all just circumstantial, but he was there. Or it was circumstantial and he was never there.
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#2 Moonlight Graham

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Posted 16 May 2012 - 09:51 AM

Really interesting story. Thanks for the link.

I think the "courage" comment comes from the fact that it was a tough call, therefore it took balls to go ahead on it based on how it could have blown up in his face.

Gates seems like a good Sec. of Defense. He is calm, logical, and doesn't seem ideological but more fact-based. A big contrast to Rumsfeld for Bush.

I think it would be a bit hard to hide it if they didn't kill OBL, since if OBL was still alive he could put out a video saying "uh, hi there, i'm still alive!".
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#3 Signals.Cpl

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Posted 16 May 2012 - 10:52 AM

Really interesting story. Thanks for the link.

I think the "courage" comment comes from the fact that it was a tough call, therefore it took balls to go ahead on it based on how it could have blown up in his face.

Gates seems like a good Sec. of Defense. He is calm, logical, and doesn't seem ideological but more fact-based. A big contrast to Rumsfeld for Bush.

I think it would be a bit hard to hide it if they didn't kill OBL, since if OBL was still alive he could put out a video saying "uh, hi there, i'm still alive!".



I think his issue was more because they had to essentially "invade" Pakistan. If OBL was not there it would be hard to explain why they were there. Saying "Pakistan has OBL and here he is" kinda lessens the blow rather then "We send 2 dozen SEALs and when we raided the home of someone completely innocent.
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#4 American Woman

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Posted 16 May 2012 - 11:35 AM

I think it would be a bit hard to hide it if they didn't kill OBL, since if OBL was still alive he could put out a video saying "uh, hi there, i'm still alive!".

And as I've said before, his family members who were living with him there, and captured, might just blow the whistle.
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#5 Moonlight Graham

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Posted 16 May 2012 - 12:16 PM

And as I've said before, his family members who were living with him there, and captured, might just blow the whistle.


But would anyone believe them (besides the conspiracy theorists) once the government spin-machine tries to legitimize them? They would have to have proof to show, but even then...
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"Did you know that today 27,000 children will die of preventable diseases such as diarrhea, measles, and malnutrition? That's the same as if an airplane full of children crashed every 16 minutes, killing everyone onboard." - Aug. 2005 edition of 'Warcry', official magazine of the Salvation Army

#6 Moonlight Graham

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Posted 16 May 2012 - 12:26 PM

I think his issue was more because they had to essentially "invade" Pakistan. If OBL was not there it would be hard to explain why they were there. Saying "Pakistan has OBL and here he is" kinda lessens the blow rather then "We send 2 dozen SEALs and when we raided the home of someone completely innocent.


I think they must have known some kind of al-Qaeda-linked activity and personnel were inside the compound. They didn't have hard evidence like a photo/video/piece of mail that showed OBL living there, but probably a good deal of evidence came together to point to him highly likely being there. Maybe they knew of some of his wives living there, and/or they intercepted communications going to the building that would point to a high-level al-Qaeda living there.

It's like having a photo of your friends and someone is cut out of it. You obviously can't see the identity of the missing person, but based on the other people in the photo, the location, the activity, and date etc. you can make a solid educated guess of who that missing person is.
"Why has government been instituted at all? Because the passions of men will not conform to the dictates of reason and justice, without constraint." - Alexander Hamilton

"Did you know that today 27,000 children will die of preventable diseases such as diarrhea, measles, and malnutrition? That's the same as if an airplane full of children crashed every 16 minutes, killing everyone onboard." - Aug. 2005 edition of 'Warcry', official magazine of the Salvation Army

#7 Signals.Cpl

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Posted 16 May 2012 - 12:34 PM

I think they must have known some kind of al-Qaeda-linked activity and personnel were inside the compound. They didn't have hard evidence like a photo/video/piece of mail that showed OBL living there, but probably a good deal of evidence came together to point to him highly likely being there. Maybe they knew of some of his wives living there, and/or they intercepted communications going to the building that would point to a high-level al-Qaeda living there.

It's like having a photo of your friends and someone is cut out of it. You obviously can't see the identity of the missing person, but based on the other people in the photo, the location, the activity, and date etc. you can make a solid educated guess of who that missing person is.



Thats the thing though, if you don't get the target Pakistan can spin it anyway they want. From what I have seen about this they had a pretty good idea it was him inside but going in to Pakistan on the down low is not something they wanted to do without a good reason.
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#8 bush_cheney2004

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Posted 16 May 2012 - 02:04 PM

Peter Bergen's new book Manhunt treats the topic very well over the entire ten years. Sec'y Gates comes off as more cautious and a no vote until convinced by others that the reward outweighed the risk. What the US did not want was a repeat of the Iranian Eagle Claw disaster because of disabled rotary winged aircraft, so this time the US had another complete airlift unit on standby to aid in recovery/egress. And it was needed....


http://www.washingtonpost.com/entertainment/books/manhunt-the-ten-year-search-for-bin-laden-from-911-to-abbottabad-by-peter-l-bergen/2012/05/04/gIQAyCYV1T_story.html
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#9 Topaz

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Posted 16 May 2012 - 03:23 PM

I guess we'll have to wait and see if the US deep sea treasure seeker, goes down into the sea and find his body.

#10 GostHacked

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Posted 17 May 2012 - 07:24 AM

Peter Bergen's new book Manhunt treats the topic very well over the entire ten years. Sec'y Gates comes off as more cautious and a no vote until convinced by others that the reward outweighed the risk. What the US did not want was a repeat of the Iranian Eagle Claw disaster because of disabled rotary winged aircraft, so this time the US had another complete airlift unit on standby to aid in recovery/egress. And it was needed....


http://www.washingtonpost.com/entertainment/books/manhunt-the-ten-year-search-for-bin-laden-from-911-to-abbottabad-by-peter-l-bergen/2012/05/04/gIQAyCYV1T_story.html


Bergen has done what the CIA could not. He actually interviewed Osama on a couple occasions. A single news reporter seems to be better than the entire CIA.
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#11 Michael Hardner

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Posted 17 May 2012 - 08:42 AM

The US would not want to lie about killing him if they had not done so. If he surfaced again, they would be damaged by that revelation.

#12 GostHacked

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Posted 17 May 2012 - 09:03 AM

The US would not want to lie about killing him if they had not done so. If he surfaced again, they would be damaged by that revelation.


I've seen several reports over the last 10 years in which Bin Laden was suspected of being dead. But there was no real confirmation. Most of the top tier of Al-queda, based on what I have seen, have been killed at least twice.
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#13 American Woman

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Posted 17 May 2012 - 10:20 AM

I've seen several reports over the last 10 years in which Bin Laden was suspected of being dead. But there was no real confirmation.

There was no confirmation for a reason - "suspected" and "known" are two different things. It was known that he was killed in Pakistan, which is why the reports said that he was killed, not that he was suspected of being dead.
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#14 GostHacked

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Posted 17 May 2012 - 10:39 AM

There was no confirmation for a reason - "suspected" and "known" are two different things.


Obviously, since I am Canadian, I would have a hard time understanding the difference between 'suspected' and 'known'. I am so happy we have such astute members on this board, not unlike yourself, to help me through this.

It was known that he was killed in Pakistan, which is why the reports said that he was killed, not that he was suspected of being dead.


Again, I thank you !! :D
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#15 American Woman

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Posted 17 May 2012 - 11:06 AM

Obviously, since I am Canadian, I would have a hard time understanding the difference between 'suspected' and 'known'. I am so happy we have such astute members on this board, not unlike yourself, to help me through this.

Good to know you recognize the difference; your previous response indicates otherwise.
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