Academics predict economy will drive a Romney victory
Campaign 2012 may have spent weeks stuck on discussions of Mitt Romney’s taxes, Joe Biden’s rant on putting “y’all in chains” and “legitimate rape” and abortion, but a pair of Colorado political scientists believe the struggling economy will still be the dominant issue and will pave the way for a Romney victory.
Using a state-by-state analysis of unemployment and per-capita income, academics Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry of the University of Colorado project that Romney will win 52.9% of the popular vote and 320 electoral votes.
You're probably asking, how does their model fit with past presidential elections?
I hope they're right. It will mean a lot for the American economy, but especially to our economy, seeing as though we're so dependent on a strong U.S. consumer base. Keep your fingers crossed!The academics said their model focuses on the preeminent issue of the economy. Applied retrospectively, the model predicts the correct winner in every presidential contest going back to 1980.
LA Times










